Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unforeseen player substitutions or technical issues
AI updated 6/28/2026, 9:01:12 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,282,449
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Acend and Inner Circle Esports in the Super DraculaN Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 1:30PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Acend" if Acend wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Acend's round total on Map 3 exceeds Inner Circle Esports's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Inner Circle Esports". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Map 3 Handicap (-3.5) between Acend and Inner Circle Esports is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome. The market hinges on Acend winning Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, a threshold that balances skill disparity and match dynamics.
Acend could dominate Map 3 due to superior team synergy, strategic adaptability, or Inner Circle Esports's potential fatigue from prior matches. A strong early performance or map control might push Acend beyond the 4-round margin, validating the bullish outlook.
Inner Circle Esports may outperform on Map 3, leveraging home advantage, tactical adjustments, or Acend's potential inconsistency. If the match remains close or Acend fails to secure a significant lead, the bear case gains traction, favoring Inner Circle Esports.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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