Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match delays or cancellations beyond the 7-day threshold
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:00:57 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Fire Flux Esports and FUT Turkuaz in the TESFED League Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 27 at 12:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Fire Flux Esports" if Fire Flux Esports wins Map 2 by 10 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Fire Flux Esports's round total on Map 2 exceeds FUT Turkuaz's by 10 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FUT Turkuaz". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Map 2 Rounds Handicap market for Fire Flux Esports (-9.5) vs FUT Turkuaz (+9.5) is currently at 50.00%, indicating a neutral expectation with no clear favorite. The outcome depends solely on the round score of Map 2, with Fire Flux needing a 10+ round lead to win the market.
Fire Flux Esports could win the market if they dominate Map 2 with a 10+ round lead, which would require strong individual performances, superior team coordination, or FUT Turkuaz's tactical errors. A high-pressure start or late-game clutch plays by Fire Flux's star players could tilt the odds in their favor.
FUT Turkuaz is favored to win the market if Fire Flux fails to secure a 10+ round lead on Map 2, which could happen due to FUT's defensive resilience, Fire Flux's mid-game struggles, or unexpected map control disruptions. A close or overtime-decided Map 2 would resolve the market in Turkuaz's favor.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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