Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_completion_uncertainty
AI updated 6/30/2026, 10:16:02 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,920,149
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
0h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Donstu Esports and Fortress in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C, initially scheduled for June 30 at 4:10AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 18.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 18.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 18.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Map 3 Total Rounds Over/Under 18.5 in the CS:GO match between Donstu Esports and Fortress is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to the binary nature of the resolution criteria and potential match complications.
A bullish outcome (Over 18.5) could materialize if both teams engage in an extended, high-intensity match with frequent round ties, prolonged overtime, or a back-and-forth battle requiring multiple rounds to break a deadlock. Defensive playstyles or frequent retakes may also prolong the map.
A bearish outcome (Under 18.5) is plausible if the match concludes swiftly due to dominant play by one team, early eliminations, or a one-sided performance leading to a quick victory. Technical issues or early forfeits would also skew toward the Under outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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