Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Incomplete Map 3 due to forfeit, disqualification, or technical issues
AI updated 6/30/2026, 10:16:07 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,920,559
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
0h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Donstu Esports and Fortress in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C, initially scheduled for June 30 at 4:10AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Donstu Esports" if Donstu Esports wins Map 3 by 7 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Donstu Esports's round total on Map 3 exceeds Fortress's by 7 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Fortress". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Map 3 Handicap market between Donstu Esports (-6.5) and Fortress (+6.5) is currently at 50.00%, indicating a neutral outlook. The market's resolution hinges on Donstu Esports winning Map 3 by 7 or more rounds, with no clear favorite under current conditions.
Donstu Esports could dominate Map 3 if they leverage their recent form, strong team synergy, or Fortress's potential weaknesses in map control. A decisive 7+ round victory would trigger a bullish outcome for this market.
Fortress may outperform expectations if Donstu struggles with early round losses, tactical missteps, or Fortress's defensive strategies. A narrow or non-conclusive Map 3 result would favor Fortress or lead to a 50-50 resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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