Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match delays or technical issues disrupting Map 1 completion
AI updated 6/29/2026, 6:17:21 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between BESTIA Academy and MAGICOS in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 30 at 3:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "BESTIA Academy" if BESTIA Academy wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. BESTIA Academy's round total on Map 1 exceeds MAGICOS's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MAGICOS". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market is evenly split between BESTIA Academy (-3.5) and MAGICOS (+3.5) for Map 1 rounds handicap in their Counter-Strike match. BESTIA Academy must win by 4+ rounds to resolve positively, otherwise MAGICOS wins the market.
BESTIA Academy could dominate early, leveraging their roster depth and strategic adaptability to secure a 4+ round victory in Map 1. Strong individual performances from key players (e.g., in-game leader or AWPer) may tilt the odds in their favor.
MAGICOS may exploit BESTIA Academy's weaknesses in Map 1, particularly if BESTIA struggles with early round losses or fails to counter MAGICOS's map control strategies. A close Map 1 outcome (e.g., 16-12) would favor MAGICOS.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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