Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 3 not played to completion (forfeit/default)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:02:19 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,138,387
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Atreides and Subtop De France in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 9:45AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Atreides" if Atreides wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Atreides's round total on Map 3 exceeds Subtop De France's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Subtop De France". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Map 3 Handicap (Atreides -3.5 vs Subtop De France +3.5) in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs shows no significant edge for either team, with a 50.00% probability. The market's resolution hinges on a 4+ round differential in favor of Atreides or a closer outcome.
Atreides could win this market if they dominate Map 3 with a 4+ round lead, capitalizing on strong early-game performance, superior team coordination, or Subtop De France's potential fatigue or misplays. A dominant map victory would validate the bullish sentiment.
Subtop De France could prevail if they limit Atreides' lead to 3 rounds or fewer, leveraging their defensive strength, clutch performances, or Atreides' potential underperformance. A close map outcome would align with the bearish scenario.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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