Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_round_swings_due_to_cheese_strategies
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:02:08 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,117,511
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Atreides and Subtop De France in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 9:45AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Atreides" if Atreides wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Atreides's round total on Map 1 exceeds Subtop De France's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Subtop De France". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Map 1 Rounds Handicap between Atreides (-3.5) and Subtop De France (+3.5) currently stands at 50%, reflecting equal odds for both outcomes. The neutral handicap (-3.5/+3.5) implies no clear favorite in round differentials, likely due to uncertainty or balanced team performance.
Atreides could dominate Map 1 by winning by 4+ rounds, including overtime, if they exhibit superior team coordination, individual skill, or map-specific strategies. A strong start or early lead might pressure Subtop De France into making mistakes, increasing Atreides' odds of covering the handicap.
Subtop De France could outperform expectations by limiting Atreides' round differential to 3 or fewer, even if they lose the map. Consistent defensive play or clutch plays by Subtop could prevent Atreides from achieving the required 4-round margin, favoring the handicap outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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