Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 3 not being played to completion (forfeit/default)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:15:37 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,201,298
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Atreides and Donstu Esports in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 10:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Atreides" if Atreides wins Map 3 by 7 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Atreides's round total on Map 3 exceeds Donstu Esports's by 7 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Donstu Esports". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market reflects a 50% probability for Atreides to win Map 3 by 7+ rounds against Donstu Esports, indicating balanced expectations without a clear favorite. The handicap is strict, requiring a decisive round differential rather than a simple map win.
Atreides could dominate Map 3 due to superior team coordination, individual skill, or strategic adjustments, achieving a 7+ round victory. Historical performance in similar matches or recent form may favor their ability to control rounds.
Donstu Esports may outperform expectations, either by limiting Atreides' round wins or capitalizing on Atreides' weaknesses, preventing a 7+ round differential. External factors like player fatigue or unexpected strategies could disrupt Atreides' dominance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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