Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 3 being incomplete or decided by non-standard resolution (e.g., forfeit)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:15:41 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,027,983
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Red Feet and ALKA GAMING in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 30 at 12:15PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Red Feet" if Red Feet wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Red Feet's round total on Map 3 exceeds ALKA GAMING's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ALKA GAMING". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a balanced outlook on Red Feet's ability to secure a 4-round or greater victory in Map 3 against ALKA GAMING, with no clear favorite given the handicap. The 50% probability suggests equal odds between Red Feet meeting the condition or not.
Red Feet may exploit ALKA GAMING's potential weaknesses in Map 3, leveraging strong CT-side (counter-terrorist) or T-side (terrorist) performance to achieve a dominant round differential. Historical data or meta-advantages in similar matchups could favor Red Feet's aggressive or defensive strategies.
ALKA GAMING's adaptability or specific map pool strengths could neutralize Red Feet's advantage, leading to a narrow round differential or even a loss in Map 3. External factors like player fatigue, strategy misalignment, or unforeseen meta shifts may also hinder Red Feet's performance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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