Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 2 not being played to completion (forfeit, default, or cancellation)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 5:47:03 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,027,983
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Red Feet and ALKA GAMING in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 30 at 12:15PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Red Feet" if Red Feet wins Map 2 by 7 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Red Feet's round total on Map 2 exceeds ALKA GAMING's by 7 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ALKA GAMING". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-6.5) vs ALKA GAMING (+6.5) is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting equal probability of either team winning by the required margin. The handicap implies a slight edge to ALKA GAMING, as Red Feet must win by 7+ rounds to resolve positively.
Red Feet has a bullish outlook due to their historical performance in similar handicaps, particularly in South American CS:GO tournaments where they often dominate round differentials. Their recent form and map-specific strategies could allow them to exceed the +6.5 handicap, especially if ALKA GAMING struggles with early-round pressure or executes poorly in key rounds.
ALKA GAMING benefits from the handicap, as Red Feet must win by a large margin to resolve the market favorably. If ALKA GAMING maintains strong economy management or forces Red Feet into low-percentage plays, they could keep the round deficit within the 6-round limit, resolving the market in their favor.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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