Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 2 not being played to completion
AI updated 6/29/2026, 6:16:42 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,528
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between ALKA and Red Feet in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 30 at 12:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "ALKA" if ALKA wins Map 2 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. ALKA's round total on Map 2 exceeds Red Feet's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Red Feet". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This market evaluates the likelihood of ALKA defeating Red Feet by 4 or more rounds in Map 2 of their Counter-Strike match. The current probability stands at 50%, indicating no clear favorite.
ALKA could win Map 2 by 4+ rounds if they dominate early rounds, maintain strong economy, and exploit Red Feet's weaknesses. A high-pressure start or Red Feet's tactical errors may favor ALKA's aggressive playstyle.
Red Feet could prevent a 4+ round win by ALKA through defensive play, clutch performances, or exploiting ALKA's overcommitment. A close Map 2 score (e.g., 16-13) would invalidate the bull case.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
No comments yet.