Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:30:29 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
10%
ORYN Consensus
10%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,240,576
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 7-13
—
Resolution
2h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
7 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Esport BERG and 6666 in the Urban Riga Open #5 Group A, initially scheduled for June 28 at 3:15PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Esport BERG" if Esport BERG wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Esport BERG's round total on Map 1 exceeds 6666's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "6666". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a low probability (10%) that Esport BERG will win Map 1 by 4 or more rounds against 6666 (-3.5 handicap). The resolution hinges solely on Map 1's round score, independent of match outcome.
Esport BERG could outperform expectations by dominating Map 1 early, securing a 4+ round lead through strong team coordination, strategic map control, or 6666's missteps. A high-skill player performance or meta shift favoring BERG could also tilt the odds.
6666 is favored due to the handicap, and BERG may struggle to secure a 4+ round lead if 6666 maintains steady defense or exploits BERG's weaknesses. External factors like map vetoes or player fatigue could further reduce BERG's chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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