Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_postponement_or_cancellation
AI updated 7/1/2026, 4:16:42 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 41% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,492,282
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the pre-match coin toss for the cricket match between Yorkshire and Somerset scheduled for 2026-07-03 in T20 Blast, Women. This market resolves according to the official coin toss result (the team recorded as having won the toss) as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. If an official toss winner is recorded, the market will resolve based on that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open and resolve according to the toss result for the listed fixture when it is eventually played. If the fixture is permanently canceled, forfeited before any toss is conducted, or otherwise completed without an official toss winner being recorded, the market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the toss winner in the T20 Blast Women's match between Yorkshire and Somerset is evenly split at 50%, reflecting no initial bias toward either team. The outcome is entirely dependent on the pre-match coin toss, with no predictive factors favoring one side.
A bullish outcome would favor Yorkshire winning the toss, potentially allowing them to set the pace of the match based on conditions. If Yorkshire wins, they may choose to bat or bowl first based on weather or pitch conditions, which could influence the match outcome.
A bearish outcome would favor Somerset winning the toss, giving them the tactical advantage to adapt to Yorkshire's strategy. If Somerset wins, they may exploit Yorkshire's weaknesses by choosing optimal batting or bowling conditions, potentially tilting the match in their favor.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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