Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match postponement or cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 9:30:20 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,074,621
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 46-52
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the pre-match coin toss for the cricket match between Middlesex and Durham scheduled for 2026-06-28 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to the official coin toss result (the team recorded as having won the toss) as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. If an official toss winner is recorded, the market will resolve based on that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open and resolve according to the toss result for the listed fixture when it is eventually played. If the fixture is permanently canceled, forfeited before any toss is conducted, or otherwise completed without an official toss winner being recorded, the market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the toss winner in Middlesex vs. Durham (T20 Blast, 2026-06-28) is marginally biased toward Middlesex at 49.50%, indicating near parity with slight uncertainty. The resolution hinges on a binary outcome with no intermediate outcomes.
Middlesex may be favored due to historical toss win rates in T20 Blast matches, where home advantage or team strategy could play a role. If Middlesex has a strong bowling lineup, winning the toss could allow them to bowl first in favorable conditions.
Durham could be perceived as having a slight edge due to potential weather or pitch conditions favoring their batting or bowling strengths. If Durham’s captains are known for aggressive toss decisions, the market may underestimate their likelihood of winning the toss.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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