Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unpredictable weather in the UK during late June
Calibrated 100% · raw 1250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 8:15:31 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
87%
Signal Score
-12.5
Opportunity
10.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1250.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
7
Price history
17 points
This market refers to whether the cricket match between Kent and Nottinghamshire scheduled for 2026-06-26 in T20 Blast is completed under the competition's official playing conditions. This market resolves according to the finalized match status as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Any match where an official result is declared — including results decided by DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, a Super Over, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling — will resolve Yes. (Draws count as completed results when recognized by the competition.) If the match is abandoned, ends in No Result, is permanently canceled, or otherwise concludes without an official result, the market will resolve No. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed or permanently canceled, after which it will resolve as described above.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market strongly favors the completion of the Kent vs Nottinghamshire T20 Blast match on 2026-06-26, with an 87% probability. Historical data and competition rules suggest most T20 Blast matches conclude under official conditions.
The high probability reflects the T20 Blast's standardized format, where matches are rarely abandoned or canceled. Official playing conditions and contingency plans (e.g., DLS/DRS) ensure completion under most weather or logistical challenges.
Potential disruptions include extreme weather, pitch conditions, or unforeseen events (e.g., player strikes, venue issues) that could lead to abandonment or cancellation. Unresolved disputes over results may also delay official declarations.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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