Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match postponement or cancellation (resolution depends on eventual toss)
Calibrated 100% · raw 300% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 1:46:01 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
47%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+3.0
Opportunity
2.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,350,618
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 300.0¢
Entry: 44-50
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
12 points
This market refers to the pre-match coin toss for the cricket match between San Francisco Unicorns and Washington Freedom scheduled for 2026-06-28 in Major League Cricket. This market resolves according to the official coin toss result (the team recorded as having won the toss) as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. If an official toss winner is recorded, the market will resolve based on that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open and resolve according to the toss result for the listed fixture when it is eventually played. If the fixture is permanently canceled, forfeited before any toss is conducted, or otherwise completed without an official toss winner being recorded, the market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the toss winner between San Francisco Unicorns and Washington Freedom is evenly split at 50%, reflecting no clear favorite in this neutral scenario. The outcome depends entirely on the pre-match coin toss, with no inherent bias toward either team.
San Francisco Unicorns may be favored by bettors due to perceived momentum or home advantage, as the match is scheduled in their city. A strong pre-toss narrative or recent form could skew probabilities slightly in their favor.
Washington Freedom could be perceived as the underdog, especially if bettors view them as less familiar or less dominant in recent performances. External factors like weather conditions or venue logistics might also introduce uncertainty.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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