Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match postponement or cancellation
Calibrated 100% · raw 4940% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 3:45:30 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+49.4
Opportunity
42.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,150,965
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4940.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the pre-match coin toss for the cricket match between Shivamogga Yodhas and Coastal Kings Mangaluru scheduled for 2026-06-28 in Maharaja T20 Trophy. This market resolves according to the official coin toss result (the team recorded as having won the toss) as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. If an official toss winner is recorded, the market will resolve based on that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open and resolve according to the toss result for the listed fixture when it is eventually played. If the fixture is permanently canceled, forfeited before any toss is conducted, or otherwise completed without an official toss winner being recorded, the market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the toss winner in the Shivamogga Yodhas vs Coastal Kings Mangaluru match shows a near-even split with Coastal Kings Mangaluru holding a slight edge at 60%. The outcome hinges entirely on the pre-match coin toss, with no influence from match dynamics.
Coastal Kings Mangaluru may benefit from higher market liquidity or perceived favorability among traders, leading to a 60% probability. If the team has a historical advantage in toss wins or if traders anticipate favorable conditions (e.g., dew, pitch reports), the probability could rise further.
The 40% probability for Shivamogga Yodhas suggests potential underestimation or lack of trader confidence in their toss-winning ability. If the market perceives Coastal Kings Mangaluru as the stronger team in toss-related decisions, Shivamogga Yodhas' probability may remain suppressed.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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