Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: lack_of_historical_data
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:15:33 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,115,611
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between SP La Fiorita and FC UNA Strassen, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SP La Fiorita" if SP La Fiorita score more goals than FC UNA Strassen in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SP La Fiorita and FC UNA Strassen score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC UNA Strassen" if FC UNA Strassen score more goals than SP La Fiorita in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for SP La Fiorita to win the second half of their UEFA Europa Conference League match against FC UNA Strassen on July 14, 2026, is evenly balanced at 50.00%, reflecting high uncertainty given the lack of prior performance data or contextual factors. The resolution hinges solely on second-half goals, excluding other match phases, which narrows the predictive scope.
SP La Fiorita could leverage home advantage or tactical adjustments to outscore FC UNA Strassen in the second half, particularly if they have a strong second-half record or FC UNA Strassen's defense is vulnerable. Historical second-half dominance or a strong attacking lineup might tilt the odds in their favor.
FC UNA Strassen may dominate the second half due to superior fitness, tactical discipline, or SP La Fiorita's fatigue from the first half, especially if the match is low-scoring and they struggle to capitalize on chances. Their defensive solidity could nullify SP La Fiorita's efforts.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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