Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_tactical_changes
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:17:31 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,150,260
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Zhejiang Zhiye FC and Qingdao Hainiu FC, scheduled for July 11 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Zhejiang Zhiye FC and Qingdao Hainiu FC combine to score 3 or more goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the combined second-half total is less than 3 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC's second-half over/under 2.5 goals shows a neutral 50% probability, reflecting balanced expectations for offensive output in the second half.
Qingdao Hainiu FC, with a higher average goals-per-game (2.1) and a strong away record, could dominate the second half, while Zhejiang Zhiye FC's defensive vulnerabilities (1.4 goals conceded per game) may lead to 3+ goals in the second half.
Both teams have struggled with consistency, averaging 1.2 goals per game in their last 5 matches. A tactical, low-scoring second half with defensive focus could result in fewer than 3 goals, favoring the 'Under' outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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