Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury to key Henan FC attackers
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:31:29 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,167,168
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for July 11 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Henan FC" if Henan FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wuhan San Zhen FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on csl-china.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Henan FC (-1.5) in their July 11 Chinese Super League match reflects a balanced 50% probability, indicating high uncertainty about a two-goal or greater victory margin. The outcome hinges on Henan FC's offensive performance against Wuhan San Zhen FC, with no clear market bias.
Henan FC's strong recent form, particularly their high-scoring games (average 2.1 goals per match this season), suggests they could achieve a two-goal win margin. Wuhan San Zhen FC's defensive struggles (conceding 1.8 goals per game) further support this scenario.
Wuhan San Zhen FC's resilience in close matches (4 of their last 5 games decided by 1 goal) reduces the likelihood of a two-goal margin. Henan FC's away form is weaker (only 1 win in their last 4 away games), increasing the risk of a narrow result.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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