Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_postponement_or_cancellation
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 9:00:43 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
3
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Wuhan San Zhen FC and Henan FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Henan FC match originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Henan FC match on July 11, 2026, at 7:00 AM ET has an even 50% probability of resolving to 'Any Other Score', indicating no clear consensus on the exact final score. The market excludes extra time and penalties, focusing solely on regulation play.
A bullish outcome could emerge if Wuhan San Zhen FC dominates with a high-scoring victory (e.g., 3-1 or 4-2), suggesting strong offensive performance and potential playoff implications. Alternatively, a narrow win (e.g., 2-1) with late drama could favor the 'Any Other Score' resolution if the market underestimates goal frequency.
A bearish outcome would favor a low-scoring or defensive stalemate (e.g., 0-0, 1-0, or 1-1), resolving to 'Any Other Score' if the market overestimates goal totals. Weather conditions, player suspensions, or tactical conservatism could suppress scoring.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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