Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement or cancellation of the match
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:30:56 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,166,168
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC, scheduled for July 11 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC combine to score 3 or more goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the combined second-half total is less than 3 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the 2nd half Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC match is evenly balanced at 50%, indicating no clear market consensus on whether the teams will combine for 3+ goals in the second half. The neutral probability reflects the lack of recent form data or head-to-head trends to favor either outcome.
A bullish outcome would require both teams to prioritize attacking play in the second half, leveraging high-scoring forwards or set-piece specialists. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC's recent offensive performance (if any) or Chengdu Rongcheng FC's defensive vulnerabilities could drive the total over 2.5. Weather conditions (e.g., clear skies encouraging open play) or referee leniency on fouls may also contribute to a higher-scoring second half.
A bearish outcome would likely result from tactical caution, with both teams adopting defensive formations to protect leads or avoid conceding. Poor individual performances (e.g., strikers missing clear chances) or goalkeeper saves could suppress the total. Additionally, fatigue from a physically demanding first half or disciplinary issues (e.g., red cards) reducing attacking numbers may limit goals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.