Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unpredictable referee decisions
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:15:54 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
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|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,149,880
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC, scheduled for July 11 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC combine to score 1 or more goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the combined second-half total is less than 1 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Over 0.5 goals in the second half' between Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC is at 50%, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear lean toward either team scoring in the second half. The neutral probability reflects the uncertainty of the matchup.
Chengdu Rongcheng FC's offensive form and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a higher likelihood of at least one goal in the second half. Recent fixtures show both teams averaging over 1 goal per second half, supporting the 'Over' outcome.
Low-scoring tendencies in recent meetings between the two teams, combined with potential tactical caution in a mid-season fixture, could suppress second-half goals. Historical data shows a 30% rate of 0-0 second-half results in their last 10 encounters.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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