Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement_or_cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:30:48 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,167,133
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC, scheduled for July 11 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC combine to score 3 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If the combined first-half total is less than 3 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5' currently stands at 50.00%, indicating a balanced expectation of whether the combined first-half goals will exceed or fall short of 2.5. The neutral probability reflects limited historical data or decisive factors favoring either outcome.
A bullish scenario could emerge if both teams are offensively strong or under pressure to score early, increasing the likelihood of 3+ goals in the first half. High-pressure matches, derbies, or games with attacking lineups may tilt probabilities upward. Recent form with multiple goals in early halves could also support this case.
A bearish outcome is plausible if either team prioritizes defensive stability or lacks attacking firepower, reducing the chance of 3+ goals. Low-scoring leagues, tactical setups, or recent matches with few first-half goals could reinforce this view. Poor weather conditions (e.g., heavy rain) might also dampen scoring opportunities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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