Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential postponement or cancellation of the match
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:00:21 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
30%
ORYN Consensus
29%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,146
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -50.0¢
Entry: 26-32
—
Resolution
1h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
16 points
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 28, 2026 If Qingdao Xihaian FC wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Qingdao Xihaian FC leading at halftime shows a 29% probability of the team winning within the first 45 minutes of play, indicating low confidence in an early lead. The resolution depends strictly on the official match statistics or credible reporting within 24 hours if no official data is published.
Qingdao Xihaian FC may secure an early lead due to strong offensive tactics, key player form, or opponent weaknesses in the first half. A favorable home crowd or tactical adjustments could also contribute to an early advantage.
Qingdao Xihaian FC may struggle to score early due to defensive solidity from the opponent, poor team form, or disciplinary issues. Tactical errors or lack of pressure could result in no lead within the first 45 minutes.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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