Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the match (resolves to 'No')
AI updated 6/30/2026, 11:45:29 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
32%
ORYN Consensus
31%
Signal Score
-1.0
Opportunity
0.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,967,728
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -100.0¢
Entry: 29-34
—
Resolution
3d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
20 points
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 4, 2026 If Qingdao Xihaian FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Qingdao Xihaian FC winning on July 4, 2026, currently shows a 30.50% probability. The outcome depends on the team's performance in a single match, with no historical context or broader team dynamics considered in this snapshot.
Qingdao Xihaian FC could win if they perform strongly in offensive play, capitalize on opponent weaknesses, or benefit from favorable home conditions. A high-scoring match where their attacking line outperforms the defense may tilt the odds in their favor.
Qingdao Xihaian FC may lose if their defense is breached early, key players are unavailable due to injury or suspension, or the opponent's tactical approach neutralizes their strengths. Poor form or external factors like weather conditions could also contribute to a loss.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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