Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: regulatory_risks
AI updated 7/3/2026, 3:03:42 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Risk asset performance comparison
correlates · strength 60%
Correlation with cryptocurrency market trends
correlates · strength 60%
Cryptocurrency regulation and event-driven price movements
correlates · strength 60%
Market sentiment analysis across asset classes
correlates · strength 60%
Global economic sentiment impact
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,178,829
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Bitcoin price prediction market for July 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET shows a 50.00% market probability. The market will resolve to 'Up' if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. The resolution source for this market is the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream.
The bull case scenario is that Bitcoin's price will increase or remain stable, resulting in a 'Up' resolution for the market. This could be driven by positive market sentiment, increased adoption, or favorable regulatory developments.
The bear case scenario is that Bitcoin's price will decrease, resulting in a 'Down' resolution for the market. This could be driven by negative market sentiment, increased regulatory scrutiny, or a decline in investor confidence.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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