Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data stream manipulation or latency issues in Chainlink
AI updated 6/28/2026, 9:00:52 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,072,701
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
18h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Bitcoin price prediction market for June 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET shows a neutral 50% probability of Bitcoin being 'Up' or 'Down' based on Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream. The market is highly sensitive to short-term price volatility within a 5-minute window.
Bitcoin could surge 'Up' if positive macroeconomic signals (e.g., dovish Fed commentary) or institutional buying triggers a rapid price increase during the 5-minute window. High-frequency trading or whale movements may also drive a bullish spike.
Bitcoin could drop 'Down' if negative regulatory news (e.g., a crackdown in Asia-Pacific) or a sudden sell-off in traditional markets (e.g., equities) spills into crypto, causing a brief but sharp decline in the 5-minute window.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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