Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data feed latency or discrepancies in Chainlink's BTC/USD stream
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:30:45 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
961,881
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
18h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Bitcoin's price movement between 10:15PM-10:20PM ET on June 28 shows a 50% probability of an upward movement, indicating a neutral expectation. The resolution is based on Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream, ensuring a single-source, verifiable metric.
Bitcoin could rise due to short-term speculative trading, positive sentiment from macroeconomic data releases, or increased institutional buying during the 5-minute window. A sudden surge in demand or reduced selling pressure might drive the price up.
Bitcoin could decline due to profit-taking by traders, negative macroeconomic news, or a sudden increase in sell orders during the 5-minute window. A lack of buying interest or macroeconomic headwinds might push the price down.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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