Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Low liquidity in the 5-minute window may amplify price swings
AI updated 6/28/2026, 1:46:09 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
961,406
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
17h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Bitcoin's price movement between 9:35PM and 9:40PM ET on June 28 shows a neutral 50% probability for either an 'Up' or 'Down' outcome, reflecting no clear directional bias in the short term.
Bitcoin could rise if there is a sudden influx of buying pressure from institutional investors or a positive macroeconomic event (e.g., favorable U.S. regulatory news) during the 5-minute window, pushing the Chainlink BTC/USD price above the starting level.
Bitcoin could decline if there is a sell-off triggered by negative sentiment (e.g., regulatory crackdown rumors or macroeconomic shocks) or profit-taking activity, causing the Chainlink BTC/USD price to fall below the starting level.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
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