Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data feed latency or inaccuracies from Chainlink
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:45:25 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
51%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,072,396
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 48-54
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
6 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Bitcoin prediction market for June 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET shows a near-even split with a 50.50% probability of Bitcoin being 'Up' against the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. The market's neutrality reflects balanced short-term expectations with no dominant directional bias.
A bullish outcome could be driven by sudden institutional demand, positive macroeconomic signals (e.g., softer U.S. inflation data), or a technical breakout above key resistance levels. Short-term momentum from leveraged trading or whale movements may also favor an upward resolution.
A bearish outcome may result from profit-taking after recent rallies, regulatory uncertainty, or a sudden risk-off sentiment in global markets. Negative external shocks (e.g., geopolitical tensions, exchange liquidations) could push Bitcoin below the starting price within the 5-minute window.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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