This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Key risk: Chainlink data stream latency or anomalies
AI updated 6/27/2026, 8:46:05 AM
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Bitcoin's price movement between 4:35AM and 4:40AM ET on June 28 shows a neutral 50% probability of 'Up' or 'Down' resolution, indicating no clear directional bias in the short term.
Bitcoin could rise if institutional buying resumes, driven by positive macroeconomic sentiment or ETF inflows, leading to a price increase above the starting value within the 5-minute window.
Bitcoin may decline if macroeconomic data (e.g., U.S. inflation or Fed signals) triggers profit-taking or risk-off sentiment, pushing the price below the starting value before resolution.
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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
