Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data stream latency or discrepancies in Chainlink's BTC/USD feed
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:15:36 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.5
Opportunity
1.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
962,046
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 150.0¢
Entry: 46-52
—
Resolution
19h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
12 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Bitcoin Up or Down market for June 28 shows a near-even split (49.50%) between 'Up' and 'Down' outcomes, indicating high uncertainty in short-term price direction. Resolution depends on Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream, which may diverge slightly from spot market prices due to latency or data source variations.
Bitcoin could rise if macroeconomic sentiment improves (e.g., dovish Fed signals) or if institutional demand surges ahead of the July halving. Technical momentum from breaking above key resistance levels (e.g., $70k) could also trigger a bullish breakout.
Bitcoin may decline if risk-off sentiment dominates due to geopolitical tensions (e.g., Middle East escalation) or regulatory crackdowns (e.g., U.S. crypto policy shifts). A failure to hold key support levels (e.g., $65k) could accelerate sell-offs.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
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