Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the match
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:16:10 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,542,945
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for July 12 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Grêmio Novorizontino" if Grêmio Novorizontino win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Operário Ferroviário EC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a balanced outlook for Grêmio Novorizontino to win by 2+ goals against Operário Ferroviário EC in Brazil Serie B, with equal probability assigned to both outcomes. The resolution hinges on the official match result, with no bias toward either team based on current market data.
Grêmio Novorizontino's recent form (e.g., 3 wins in last 5 matches) and home advantage (if applicable) could favor a 2+ goal victory, driving the market probability upward. A strong attacking lineup or defensive solidity may increase confidence in this outcome.
Operário Ferroviário EC's defensive record (e.g., 2 clean sheets in last 4 matches) or historical performance against Grêmio Novorizontino may reduce the likelihood of a 2+ goal loss, keeping the market probability neutral. External factors like weather conditions or referee decisions could also influence the result.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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