Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_potential_postponement
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:16:17 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,542,990
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Operário Ferroviário EC and Grêmio Novorizontino, scheduled for July 12 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Operário Ferroviário EC and Grêmio Novorizontino combine to score 1 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If the combined first-half total is less than 1 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Operário Ferroviário EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino first-half O/U 0.5 goals is currently at 50%, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear lean toward over or under in the first half. Given the low threshold (0.5 goals), the market suggests high uncertainty about early scoring dynamics.
A bullish scenario would involve both teams adopting attacking strategies, increasing the likelihood of early goals. Grêmio Novorizontino, historically more offensive, may dominate possession, while Operário Ferroviário EC could capitalize on counterattacks or set-pieces. Weather conditions or referee leniency toward fouls could also contribute to higher scoring.
A bearish scenario would see both teams prioritizing defensive solidity, leading to a low-scoring first half. Grêmio Novorizontino’s recent form may lack consistency, while Operário Ferroviário EC could struggle to create chances against a well-organized defense. Poor pitch conditions or tactical conservatism would further suppress goal-scoring.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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