Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected tactical shifts or lineup changes by either team
Calibrated 100% · raw 495% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 11:45:23 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
+5.0
Opportunity
4.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,311,443
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 495.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for June 28 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Goiás EC" if Goiás EC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Clube Náutico Capibaribe". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Goiás EC (-2.5) in the upcoming Brazil Serie B game on June 28 is highly unlikely to resolve as Goiás EC winning by 3+ goals, given the low market probability of 0.05%. The bear case dominates due to the high threshold for resolution.
Goiás EC wins by 3 or more goals, which would require a dominant performance against Clube Náutico Capibaribe. This could happen if Goiás EC's offensive strength outperforms expectations, or if Náutico Capibaribe's defense collapses under pressure.
The market is highly likely to resolve as Clube Náutico Capibaribe, as Goiás EC winning by 3+ goals is improbable given the low market probability. Even a narrow victory for Goiás EC would result in the market resolving to Náutico Capibaribe.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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