Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Weather conditions or venue disruptions affecting performance
Calibrated 100% · raw 250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:30:54 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
12%
ORYN Consensus
9%
Signal Score
-2.5
Opportunity
1.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,074,621
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -250.0¢
Entry: 8-15
—
Resolution
7h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
23 points
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for June 28 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fortaleza EC" if Fortaleza EC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "SC Recife". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Fortaleza EC (-2.5) against SC Recife in the Brazil Serie B game on June 28 suggests a low probability (9%) of Fortaleza winning by 3+ goals, favoring SC Recife as the likely outcome.
Fortaleza EC could overcome the -2.5 handicap if they perform exceptionally well, such as a dominant 3+ goal victory, which would validate the market's resolution. Strong attacking form or defensive lapses by SC Recife could drive this outcome.
SC Recife is the more probable outcome as Fortaleza rarely wins by 3+ goals in Serie B, and the -2.5 handicap implies a high bar. Poor team form, injuries, or tactical mismatches could further reduce Fortaleza's chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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