Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries to key attacking players before the match
Calibrated 100% · raw 2400% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:30:19 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
43%
ORYN Consensus
19%
Signal Score
-24.0
Opportunity
17.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,115,611
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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LOW
EV -2400.0¢
Entry: 40-45
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
8 points
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Botafogo FC and CR Brasil, scheduled for June 30 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Botafogo FC and CR Brasil each score at least one goal during the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score in the first half (i.e., if one or both teams finish the first half with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Botafogo FC vs. CR Brasil: Both Teams to Score in First Half' has an 18.50% probability, indicating a relatively low expectation of both teams scoring in the opening half of their Serie B match. Historical head-to-head data and team form suggest a cautious outlook.
Botafogo FC and CR Brasil may both score in the first half due to their attacking styles; Botafogo averages 1.8 goals per game this season, while CR Brasil has conceded 1.1 goals per game in their last 10 matches. A high-pressing game or set-piece opportunities could favor both teams scoring early.
Neither team may score in the first half if either Botafogo's attack falters or CR Brasil's defense holds firm; Botafogo has failed to score in 30% of their away games this season, and CR Brasil has kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 matches. Low-scoring tendencies or tactical conservatism could suppress goals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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