Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match postponement or cancellation due to unforeseen circumstances
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:17:16 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between América FC and Londrina EC, scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the América FC vs. Londrina EC match originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the exact score of América FC vs. Londrina EC in Brazil Serie B (July 13, 2026) shows a 50% probability of a 2-2 draw, indicating balanced expectations. The market's design accounts for potential match postponements or cancellations, with clear resolution rules based on official or consensus reporting.
A 2-2 draw is plausible given América FC's recent offensive form and Londrina EC's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in away matches. Mid-table teams in Brazil Serie B often produce high-scoring draws due to tactical flexibility and set-piece threats.
The market's 50% probability may underestimate the volatility of Brazil Serie B, where defensive errors or red cards frequently lead to 1-0 or 0-1 outcomes. América FC's inconsistent home form or Londrina EC's counter-attacking style could skew results away from a 2-2 draw.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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