Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Extreme short-term volatility
AI updated 7/2/2026, 11:16:10 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 28% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,884,046
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
16h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BNB/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The BNB/USD price prediction market for July 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET shows an even 50% probability of BNB being 'Up' or 'Down' based on Chainlink data. The short 5-minute window introduces high volatility risk, with minimal time for macroeconomic or market sentiment shifts to influence the outcome.
BNB could rise if there is a sudden surge in trading volume or positive sentiment in the Binance ecosystem during the 5-minute window. A brief pump in the broader crypto market or a Binance-related announcement could also drive the price up.
BNB could decline due to a sudden sell-off, negative news related to Binance or regulatory issues, or a broader crypto market downturn within the 5-minute window. Low liquidity in this short timeframe could exacerbate price swings.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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