Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation due to unforeseen events
AI updated 7/2/2026, 10:15:20 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
48%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 44-50
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for July 2 at 11:30AM ET: If the Ukraine win, the market will resolve to "Ukraine". If the Georgia win, the market will resolve to "Georgia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a highly competitive FIBA World Cup Qualifier Europe game between Ukraine and Georgia with minimal edge for either side. The 47.50% probability for Ukraine suggests a near-even contest with slight underdog status for Georgia.
Ukraine's bull case hinges on superior home-court advantage, recent form in European qualifiers, and potential fatigue or travel issues for Georgia's players. A strong defensive performance or key player breakthrough could tilt the odds in Ukraine's favor.
Georgia's bear case may rely on their historically consistent European performance, depth of roster, and Ukraine's potential lack of recent high-level competition. External factors like injuries or referee decisions could also favor Georgia.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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