Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement_risk
AI updated 6/27/2026, 1:45:30 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 46-52
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
15 points
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for June 29 at 12:30PM ET: If the Iraq win, the market will resolve to "Iraq". If the Jordan win, the market will resolve to "Jordan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the FIBA World Cup Qualifiers Asia game between Iraq and Jordan is nearly evenly split, with Iraq slightly favored at 49.50%. The outcome hinges on a single match with no historical context provided for weighting.
Iraq could leverage home-court advantage (if applicable) or recent form to secure a narrow victory, particularly if their defensive play disrupts Jordan's offensive rhythm. A win would validate their underdog status and potentially boost team morale for future qualifiers.
Jordan's historical consistency in regional tournaments may outweigh Iraq's unpredictability, especially if key players perform at their peak. A loss could expose Iraq's tactical or physical limitations against a more experienced opponent.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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