Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement or cancellation due to external factors (e.g., weather, COVID-19)
AI updated 7/2/2026, 12:30:31 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 38% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,656,169
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 46-52
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
8 points
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for July 3 at 7:30AM ET: If the China win, the market will resolve to "China". If the Japan win, the market will resolve to "Japan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the FIBA WCQ Asia game between China and Japan is nearly balanced, with China holding a slight edge at 49.50%. The outcome hinges on the game's result, with no clear favorite based on current probabilities.
China could win due to home advantage, recent form, or strategic advantages in the FIBA WCQ Asia tournament. A victory would validate their regional dominance and boost market confidence.
Japan may outperform due to stronger recent performances, tactical adjustments, or China's potential underestimation of their opponent. A Japan win would shift market dynamics significantly.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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