Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_game_postponement_or_cancellation
AI updated 6/27/2026, 3:30:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
49%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 46-52
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
7
Price history
90 points
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for July 2 at 5:00AM ET: If the Guinea win, the market will resolve to "Guinea". If the Rwanda win, the market will resolve to "Rwanda". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Guinea vs. Rwanda FIBA WCQ Africa game on July 2 at 5:00AM ET is evenly split, with no clear favorite. The outcome hinges on in-game performance and potential overtime scenarios.
Guinea's bull case assumes strong team chemistry, effective defense, and key player dominance, particularly in clutch moments. A high-scoring game with Guinea's offensive firepower could tilt the odds in their favor.
Rwanda's bear case centers on Guinea's home advantage (if applicable) and Rwanda's inconsistent form in recent matches. A slow start or defensive lapses could favor Rwanda's counterattacking style.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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