Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data latency or discrepancies in Binance's price feed
AI updated 7/1/2026, 12:15:21 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
51%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,423,831
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 48-54
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Bitcoin's price movement on July 1 at 9AM ET shows a near-even split between 'Up' and 'Down' outcomes, with a slight bias toward 'Up' at 50.50%. The resolution depends solely on Binance's BTC/USDT 1-hour candle data.
Bitcoin may close higher due to positive macroeconomic sentiment, institutional adoption, or short-term speculative trading. A breakout above key resistance levels or favorable regulatory news could drive the price up.
Bitcoin could close lower due to profit-taking, negative regulatory developments, or broader market downturns. A failure to sustain above critical support levels or macroeconomic headwinds may push the price down.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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