This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Exchange-specific volatility (Binance-specific risks)
AI updated 6/26/2026, 3:47:28 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) closing above 61,800 on June 26 at 1 PM ET stands at 50%, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear directional bias. The resolution hinges on Binance's BTC/USDT hourly candle close, emphasizing exchange-specific price dynamics.
Bitcoin could close above 61,800 if macroeconomic conditions (e.g., U.S. inflation data) align with risk-on sentiment, driving institutional and retail inflows. Technical momentum, such as a breakout above key resistance levels or positive derivatives metrics (e.g., funding rates), could reinforce upward pressure.
Bitcoin may fail to surpass 61,800 if macro headwinds (e.g., hawkish Fed signals, regulatory crackdowns) dampen market sentiment. A rejection at critical resistance or negative on-chain metrics (e.g., exchange inflows, declining hash rate) could trigger a pullback.
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Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 26, 1PM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 51%.
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