This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Volatility around macroeconomic data releases
AI updated 6/26/2026, 9:18:37 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) closing above 61,600 on June 26 at 6PM ET shows a neutral probability of 50.00%, indicating balanced expectations between bullish and bearish outcomes. The resolution is based on Binance's BTC/USDT 1-hour candle close, ensuring direct price reference.
Bitcoin could surpass 61,600 if macroeconomic conditions improve, such as a weaker U.S. dollar or dovish Federal Reserve signals, alongside sustained institutional demand or ETF inflows. Positive regulatory clarity or broader market sentiment shifts could also drive the price higher.
Bitcoin may fail to reach 61,600 if macroeconomic headwinds persist, such as a stronger dollar, hawkish Fed policy, or risk-off sentiment in equities. Regulatory uncertainty, miner selling pressure, or a broader crypto market downturn could also cap gains.
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Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 26, 6PM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
