Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Exchange-specific liquidity constraints on Binance
AI updated 7/2/2026, 3:46:19 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Bitcoin exceeding $61,400 at the specified Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle close shows a neutral probability of 50.00%, reflecting equal likelihood of resolution to 'Yes' or 'No'. The outcome depends on short-term price volatility and trading volume during the 1-hour window.
Bitcoin could close above $61,400 if positive macroeconomic data (e.g., U.S. inflation cooling) or institutional adoption news triggers a rally. High trading volumes and upward momentum in the preceding hours could also push the price past the threshold.
Bitcoin may fail to reach $61,400 if negative sentiment (e.g., regulatory crackdowns, macroeconomic headwinds) or profit-taking by whales causes a pullback. A sudden drop in trading activity or bearish technical patterns (e.g., lower highs) could also prevent resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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