Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Exchange-specific liquidity constraints on Binance
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:47:19 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,330,905
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Bitcoin above $61,200 on June 28 at 10PM ET shows a 50% probability, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear directional bias. The resolution depends on Binance's BTC/USDT hourly candle close price at the specified time.
Bitcoin could surpass $61,200 if macroeconomic conditions improve, such as a dovish Federal Reserve pivot or renewed institutional demand. Positive sentiment from regulatory clarity or ETF inflows may also drive prices higher. Short-term momentum from whale activity or technical breakouts could push the price above the threshold.
Bitcoin may fail to reach $61,200 if macroeconomic headwinds persist, including high interest rates or geopolitical tensions. Negative regulatory news, exchange liquidity issues, or a broader risk-off sentiment in crypto markets could suppress prices. Technical resistance levels or profit-taking near the threshold may also limit upside.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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