This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: High intraday volatility due to low liquidity in the 1-hour candle
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:46:57 AM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) closing above 61,200 at 12AM ET on June 27 shows a neutral probability of 50.00%. The outcome is highly sensitive to short-term volatility and external macroeconomic factors.
Bitcoin could surge above 61,200 if risk-on sentiment persists due to favorable U.S. economic data, a dovish Fed pivot, or a sustained rally in risk assets. Institutional adoption or a major regulatory breakthrough (e.g., ETF approvals) could also drive the price higher.
Bitcoin may fail to breach 61,200 if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., inflation data, hawkish Fed signals) dampen risk appetite. A sudden regulatory crackdown or negative geopolitical event could also trigger a pullback below the threshold.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your forecast thesis.
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 27, 12AM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
